ShareScope Survey Results 2011

Monday 28th November


Do you think the Euro will exist in a year's time?
 
Answer Count %
Yes 700 73.3%
No 156 16.4%
Don't Know 98 10.3%

If so, do you think the southern European countries will still be members?
 
Answer Count %
All 154 17.2%
Most 302 33.8%
Some 361 40.3%
None 78 8.7%

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Monday 14th November


After a rally through October, developed markets have been treading water for a few weeks. Do you think the FTSE 100 will be higher at Christmas?
 
Answer Count %
Yes 440 45.7%
No 426 44.2%
Don't Know 97 10.1%

How do you think developed markets will perform compared to “emerged” markets in 2012?
 
Answer Count %
Better 156 16.2%
Worse 454 47.0%
The same 230 23.8%
Don't know 125 13.0%

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Monday 3rd October


What will happen to interest rates when the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meet on the 5th & 6th October?
 
Answer Count %
Up 11 1.6%
Down 18 2.7%
Unchanged 639 95.2%
Don't know 3 0.5%

There has been a lot of negative press recently about synthetic ETFs (those not based on physical assets). Tougher regulation has been called for - particularly when selling to retail investors (that's us). What is your current view of these derivative investment products:
 
Answer Count %
I'm more likely to use them than before 8 1.2%
I'm just as likely to use them as before 102 15.3%
I'm less likely to use them 83 12.4%
I have decided not to use them any more 21 3.2%
I don't invest in synthetic ETFs 453 67.9%

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Monday 5th September



What will happen to interest rates when the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meet on the 7th & 8th September?
 
Answer Count %
Up 22 2.5%
Down 25 2.9%
Unchanged 815 93.3%
Don't know 11 1.3%

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Monday 8th August


Last week, the Bank of England agreed to maintain the 0.5% base rate for the 29th month in a row. When do you think the UK will next see an interest rate change?
 
Answer Count %
Up within 6 months 65 11.4%
Up in 6 – 12 months 192 33.7%
Up in 12+ months 291 51.0%
Down within 6 months 13 2.3%
Down in 6 – 12 months 4 0.7%
Down in 12+ months 5 0.9%

Do you think the S&P 500 will finish the year above its April high of 1363.6?
 
Answer Count %
Yes 83 14.3%
No 406 70.1%
Don't know 90 15.6%

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Monday 25th July


Many commentators have been talking up Japan - claiming that its companies are extremely good value and that this and other factors will finally lead the country out of its prolonged bear market. What do you think?
 
Answer Count %
I am already invested 170 20.4%
I am seriously considering investing 79 9.5%
I am not convinced 372 44.6%
I am not interested 213 25.5%

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Monday 27th June


What will happen to interest rates when the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meet on the 6th & 7th July?
 
Answer Count %
Up 50 8.1%
Down 4 0.6%
Unchanged 564 91.3%
Don't Know 0 0%

The financial woes facing Greece have been a major talking point over the past few weeks, with new austerity measures required to trigger a Eurozone bailout proving unpopular among locals; culminating in protests, riots and a two-day national strike. This week’s question comes in two parts:

Should Greece default?

Do you hold shares in the banking sector?

 
    Should Greece default?
Do you hold shares in the banking sector?   Yes No Don't Know
Yes   48.6% 40.7% 10.7%
No   59.2% 26.2% 14.6%

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Monday 13th June


This week’s Investors Chronicle (10/06/11) included a feature entitled “Five top sin stocks”, which focussed on investing in gaming, tobacco, defence and alcohol stocks. Purely from an ethical perspective, which of the following areas, if any, would you NOT invest in? (please tick all that apply).
 
Answer Count %
Gaming (gambling/betting) 185 21.8%
Tobacco 279 32.9%
Defence 84 9.9%
Alcohol 73 8.6%

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Monday 31st May


On 6th December, 64.6% of you predicted that Emerging Markets would provide the best returns over the next 12 months. 6 months on and the iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF is -2.6%. Do you still think emerging markets will provide the best returns this year?
 
Answer Count %
Yes 203 36.6%
No 202 36.4%
Don't Know 150 27.0%

What percentage of your portfolio is invested in emerging market equities?
 
Answer Count %
None 212 38.0%
1 - 25% 295 52.9%
26 - 50% 36 6.4%
More than 50% 15 2.7%

What will happen to interest rates when the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meet on the 8th & 9th June?
 
Answer Count %
Up 75 13.4%
Down 1 0.2%
Unchanged 473 84.6%
Don't Know 10 1.8%

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Monday 28th March


Following the catastrophic events in Japan a fortnight ago, the Nikkei has seen a minor recovery, having fallen over 10% the day after the disaster. For months, some circles have championed Japan as undervalued and a viable recovery play. How do you view Japan?
 
Answer Count %
Good long-term investment 289 33.6%
Short-term trade (long) 66 7.7%
Both of the above 118 13.7%
Short trade 65 7.6%
Not sure 321 37.4%

What will happen to interest rates when the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meet on the 6th & 7th April?
 
Answer Count %
Up 202 23.4%
Down 0 0%
Unchanged 641 74.4%
Don't Know 19 2.2%

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Monday 28th February


What will happen to interest rates when the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meet on the 9th & 10th March?
 
Answer Count %
Up 132 29.2%
Down 2 0.4%
Unchanged 309 68.4%
Don't Know 9 2.0%

With political unrest in Libya and elsewhere playing a huge part in Oil surging to $112/barrel (a 30-month high) last week, what level do you think Oil is capable of hitting within the next 6 months?
 
Answer Count %
Above $135 105 23.2%
$125 –$135 136 30.0%
$115 – $125 122 26.9%
No further significant rise 70 15.5%
Don't Know 20 4.4%

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Monday 24th January


What will happen to interest rates when the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meet on the 9th & 10th February?
 
Answer Count %
Up 197 19.8%
Down 6 0.6%
Unchanged 771 77.6%
Don't Know 20 2.0%

Click here to view all 2010 results.

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