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| Market Sentiment Survey Results |
TOP |
| On a scale of 1-10, how bullish or bearish do you feel about the UK stockmarket over the next two weeks?
(1=Grizzly Bear, 10=Bull by the Horns) |
| Answer |
Response |
| 1 |
2.9% |
| 2 |
2.3% |
| 3 |
16.6% |
| 4 |
33.0% |
| 5 |
25.9% |
| 6 |
9.7% |
| 7 |
5.8% |
| 8 |
2.7% |
| 9 |
0.2% |
| 10 |
0.9% |
|
|
The last 5 Market Sentiment Survey results are listed below. Click here to view all results.
| Week commencing |
Mean
(average) |
Mode
(most popular) |
FTSE 100 |
| 18th May |
4.5 |
4 |
4318 |
| 4th May |
4.8 |
4 |
4325 |
| 20th April |
4.0 |
4 |
4074 |
| 30th March |
4.0 |
4 |
3839 |
| 16th March |
4.1 |
4 |
3818 |
|
|
In January, we asked you which sectors you were most bullish and bearish about for 2009. As we move towards the half-way mark, let's see if your views have changed.
| Which of the following sectors are you most BULLISH about for 2009? |
May 2009 Result: |
| The 5 most popular sectors were as follows: |
| Oil & Gas Producers |
38.5% |
| Mining |
33.8% |
| Oil Equipment, Services & Distribution |
28.6% |
| Pharmaceuticals & Biotechnology |
27.3% |
| Gas, Water & Multiutilities |
19.1% |
|
January 2009 Result: |
| The 5 most popular sectors were as follows: |
| Oil & Gas Producers |
33.2% |
| Pharmaceuticals & Biotechnology |
32.6% |
| Gas, Water & Multiutilities |
29.9% |
| Mining |
25.0% |
| Oil Equipment, Services & Distribution |
22.8% |
|
| Which of the following sectors are you most BEARISH about for 2009? |
May 2009 Result: |
| The 5 most popular sectors were as follows: |
| Travel & Leisure |
27.7% |
| Real Estate |
27.5% |
| General Retailers |
27.3% |
| Automobiles & Parts |
25.9% |
| Banks |
23.3% |
|
January 2009 Result: |
| The 5 most popular sectors were as follows: |
| General Retailers |
39.5% |
| Banks |
39.3% |
| Travel & Leisure |
30.4% |
| Automobiles & Parts |
30.3% |
| Real Estate |
29.9% |
|
|
Having hit new 6 year lows in March, the FTSE has seen a resurgence in recent weeks. For months, many commentators have been warning of a final leg to the bear market, although recently some, like Anthony Bolton, have pronounced that we are in a new bull market. Do you think the bear market has bottomed? |
| |
| Answer |
Count |
% |
| Yes |
361 |
36.8% |
| No |
433 |
44.2% |
| Don't Know |
186 |
19.0% |
|
|
What will happen to interest rates when the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meet on the 6th & 7th May? |
| |
| Answer |
Count |
% |
| Up |
37 |
3.8% |
| Down |
5 |
0.5% |
| Unchanged |
918 |
93.8% |
| Don't Know |
19 |
1.9% |
|
|
Do you invest in foreign shares? |
| |
| Answer |
|
Count |
% |
| Yes |
|
310 |
41.9% |
| No |
|
429 |
58.1% |
|
|
Have recent market conditions tempted you to look overseas for trading and investing opportunities? |
| |
| Answer |
|
Count |
% |
| Yes |
|
304 |
41.5% |
| No |
|
429 |
58.5% |
|
|
If yes, which of the following instruments have you used?
|
| |
| Answer |
|
Count |
% |
| Direct Equities |
|
219 |
72.0% |
| Investment trusts |
|
150 |
49.3% |
| Index tracking ETFs |
|
142 |
46.7% |
| Unit trusts & OEICs |
|
122 |
40.1% |
| CDIs |
|
19 |
6.3% |
|
|
Which of the following overseas markets have you invested in? |
| |
| Answer |
|
Count |
% |
| USA |
|
239 |
78.6% |
| China |
|
128 |
42.1% |
| Asia Pacific (exc. Japan) |
|
120 |
39.5% |
| Brazil |
|
115 |
37.8% |
| Western Europe |
|
103 |
33.9% |
| India |
|
103 |
33.9% |
| Japan |
|
102 |
33.6% |
| Russia |
|
72 |
23.7% |
| Eastern Europe |
|
68 |
22.4% |
| Australia |
|
64 |
21.1% |
| Hong Kong |
|
46 |
15.1% |
| Canada |
|
45 |
14.8% |
| Africa (Emerging) |
|
42 |
13.8% |
| Singapore |
|
25 |
8.2% |
| South Africa |
|
24 |
7.9% |
| Argentina |
|
18 |
5.9% |
|
|
Do you think inflation is under control?
|
| |
| Answer |
|
Count |
% |
| Yes |
|
153 |
21.4% |
| No |
|
481 |
67.5% |
| Don't Know |
|
79 |
11.1% |
|
|
According to information passed on to Liberal Democrats deputy leader Vince Cable from an anonymous whistleblower, Barclays bank is alleged to be making around £1billion a year from financial schemes aimed at avoiding paying tax in the UK and abroad (Sunday Times, 15/03/2009).
Which of the following statements best describes your feelings about this:
|
| |
| Answer |
|
Count |
% |
| Tax evasion on this scale by large corporations is unethical. These companies have plundered the nation's wealth without repaying the necessary dues. The individual taxpayer is being fleeced. |
|
218 |
21.4% |
| You can't blame companies for wanting to maximise their profits. Any tax evasion that operates within the law is a problem of legislation not corporate ethics. |
|
574 |
56.5% |
| This is just another example of the "light touch" exercised by legislators and regulators on corporate governance over recent years. All parties are equally to blame. |
|
187 |
18.4% |
| Don't Know |
|
38 |
3.7% |
|
|
Should Barclays receive Government/taxpayer help in the form of asset insurance?
|
| |
| Answer |
Count |
% |
| Yes |
346 |
33.9% |
| No |
481 |
47.0% |
| Don't Know |
195 |
19.1% |
|
Former Royal Bank of Scotland Chief Executive Fred Goodwin has dominated the headlines in the past week, with the news that he will receive an annual pension of £650,000 for life – worth an estimated £16 million.
As Deputy Leader, Harriet Harman contests this settlement (“Sir Fred should not be counting on being £650,000 a year better off as a result of this, because it’s not going to happen... it will not be accepted”), we ask you for your view on this matter.
|
| |
| Answer |
Count |
% |
| Lose it. Goodwin’s pension is obscene. He should be forced to sacrifice all, or a considerable part of, the amount awarded. |
261 |
29.6% |
| Voluntarily give it up. Goodwin is legally entitled to his pension, but should relinquish part or all of the settlement for the poor performance of RBS under his tenure. |
338 |
38.3% |
| Keep it. Goodwin is being made a scapegoat; the pension was negotiated with his employer and was allegedly approved by the Government. |
259 |
29.3% |
| Don't Know |
25 |
2.8% |
|
| What will happen to interest rates when the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meet on the 4th & 5th March? |
| |
| Answer |
Count |
% |
| Up |
2 |
0.2% |
| Down |
439 |
49.0% |
| Unchanged |
432 |
48.4% |
| Don't Know |
21 |
2.4% |
|
|
As this week sees the first anniversary of the nationalisation of Northern Rock, we revisit the question we asked you this time last year to see whether sentiment has changed. In hindsight, do you think the Government made the right decision to nationalise Northern Rock? |
| |
| Answer |
Count |
% |
| It was the right decision - there was no viable alternative |
227 |
26.6% |
| It was the right decision - but the Government should have acted sooner |
280 |
32.8% |
| It was wrong decision - the Government should have agreed a private equity solution |
164 |
19.2% |
| It was the wrong decision – the Government should have let the bank fail |
131 |
15.3% |
| Don't Know |
52 |
6.1% |
|
|
Following the announcement of a £10bn loss in the newly-acquired HBOS, Lloyds Banking Group shares plummeted around 35% on Friday, leading to speculation that public ownership of the bank is a possibility. How likely is a further banking-led downturn in the global stock markets? |
| |
| Answer |
Count |
% |
| Very likely |
245 |
28.6% |
| Quite likely |
379 |
44.3% |
| Unlikely |
97 |
11.3% |
| A further downturn is likely but not led by any particular sector |
112 |
13.1% |
| Don’t Know |
23 |
2.7% |
|
| What will happen to interest rates when the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meet on the 4th & 5th February?
|
| |
| Answer |
Count |
% |
| Up |
7 |
0.8% |
| Down |
399 |
46.2% |
| Unchanged |
442 |
51.2% |
| Don't Know |
15 |
1.8% |
|
| Which of the following asset classes do you think will offer the BEST returns over 2009?
|
| |
| Answer |
Count |
% |
| Equities |
365 |
43.2% |
| Commodities |
169 |
20.0% |
| Bonds |
218 |
25.8% |
| Property |
10 |
1.2% |
| Cash |
83 |
9.8% |
|
|
On Friday, the FSA lifted the temporary ban on the short-selling of UK financial stocks – a restriction which had been in place since September 2008. To what extent to you feel this measure helped to stabilise UK financial shares over this period? |
| |
| Answer |
Count |
% |
| Significantly – without this ban UK financial sector would have lost even more ground |
257 |
24.4% |
| Somewhat – the ban helped to slow declines, but only to a limited extent |
386 |
36.7% |
| None – the ban had no positive effect whatsoever |
355 |
33.8% |
| Don't Know |
54 |
5.1% |
|
|
What will happen to interest rates when the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meet on the 7th & 8th January? |
| |
| Answer |
Count |
% |
| Up |
2 |
0.3% |
| Down |
515 |
70.1% |
| Unchanged |
201 |
27.3% |
| Don't Know |
17 |
2.3% |
|
| Which of the following sectors are you
most BULLISH about for 2009? |
| The 5 most popular sectors were as follows: |
| |
| Oil & Gas Producers |
33.2% |
| Pharmaceuticals & Biotechnology |
32.6% |
| Gas, Water & Multiutilities |
29.9% |
| Mining |
25.0% |
| Oil Equipment, Services & Distribution |
22.8% |
|
| Which of the following sectors are you
most BEARISH about for 2009? |
| The 5 most popular sectors were as follows: |
| |
| General Retailers |
39.5% |
| Banks |
39.3% |
| Travel & Leisure |
30.4% |
| Automobiles & Parts |
30.3% |
| Real Estate |
29.9% |
|
Click here to view all 2008 results.
|
